Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.164889 0.237398 0.320066 0.418955 0.532008 0.655505 0.799024
2025-11-09 0.057281 0.135102 0.242986 0.389418 0.572666 0.786592 1.048443
2025-11-16 0.014381 0.075937 0.184830 0.350898 0.573732 0.845951 1.190165
2025-11-23 0.001433 0.045909 0.154413 0.338942 0.600768 0.931408 1.358967
2025-11-30 NaN 0.031187 0.141691 0.347073 0.650366 1.041974 1.555711
2025-12-07 NaN 0.017959 0.123915 0.342896 0.680241 1.125604 1.718064
2025-12-14 NaN 0.007344 0.101765 0.326284 0.689262 1.180043 1.842450
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005605 0.105267 0.354197 0.762797 1.319255 2.073522
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004314 0.109241 0.382699 0.837182 1.459728 2.306461
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002344 0.106692 0.397992 0.891402 1.573150 2.505096
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002311 0.116093 0.436895 0.981702 1.735357 2.766303
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001702 0.120333 0.465397 1.056157 1.876334 3.000614
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000356 0.112728 0.470996 1.098206 1.977559 3.189716
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.087788 0.436242 1.075979 1.990988 3.266467
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.063864 0.396082 1.041112 1.984258 3.314807
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.052742 0.383126 1.048680 2.035287 3.437322
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.049968 0.391851 1.092365 2.137178 3.626696
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.043211 0.387383 1.112905 2.205865 3.772093
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.033316 0.369654 1.109124 2.239005 3.869880
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.037422 0.399434 1.189515 2.393794 4.129920
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.041713 0.429772 1.270940 2.550178 4.392242
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.041922 0.446023 1.327414 2.670598 4.606769
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.049406 0.487289 1.428349 2.855385 4.907262